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The tech blogosphere has peaked. It's reached it's nadir and I'm afraid it's nothing but downhill from here, baby. You might have noticed that Gabe launched his memeorandum engine into another vertical yesterday — baseball. The reality is, he had to.
Since Christmas, tech. It hasn't been a plummet or anything, but there's a very definite gradual decline there. In March, that decline got a little bit steeper and a little more consistent. And it wasn't just memeorandum, Tailrank pretty much mimicked the traffic flow as well. Now maybe it's the memetracker category hitting a flat spot. But I think tech. I hardly blogged over the last couple of days.
Fact is, I rely on memeorandum to keep me up to date with what's hot in the blogosphere. Unashamedly, memeorandum is my muse. This week, memeorandum has been my valium. I think it was last Friday, when I started to notice the rot. The top memeorandum post was about Yahoo! Next up we had the joy that was April Fool's day where those self-indulgent rib ticklers just seemed to go on and on and on.
That was displaced by the New York Time's "radical" front page redesign where, wait for, they've discovered RSS and today I'm staring at some story about nasty ads that have GM's nickers in a knot ok, this one is a little bit interesting.
Here's a question: When was the last time you found a really, great new voice. Who's the hot new blogger? About that time, anybody in tech who was ever likely to start a blog did. Let's face it, you need to be a certain type of person to blog. You need to be something of a workaholic because good blogging takes time and anyone who's any good should have a pretty full plate anyhow; you need to be able to string a few sentences together; you need to have a raging ego and you need to have a head for ideas.
If you're one of those people, you've almost certainly already started to blog. Now, there's a pretty fair chance that you've either considered giving up the blog or you're blogging less. Let me as an old Dead Tree 1. When I was an editor, two years was always as long as I felt I could give a job.
After two years you find yourself recycling the same old stories, writing the same old opinion pieces, producing covers that looked like something else you did last year. I like to live under the delusion that I could find an angle on a flag pole but at that two year mark, I run dry. Actually, I reckon you start to run dry after 12 months but you can probably hang on for another year with selective recycling.
A lot of your more interesting bloggers will be hitting that point now. They'll be writing something thinking 'god, this sounds like that other post I did about…' On top of that, their families might be starting to tire of the old, 'As soon as I've finished this blog post' routine and then there's the kicker — Web 2. Turn over to TechCrunch and tell me how many of the new launches are really inspiring or new.
Mostly they're tweaks on the same old ideas — social networking, search, photo sharing, news aggregators, etc. I never thought I'd say this, but I'm missing the Web 2. So begins a slippery slope. The tech blogosphere gets progressively more boring so less people are inspired to blog which begets more ennui and so on. I'm not suggesting for a moment that it's dead or anything, just that it's plateued. Those of us who are still blogging are probably doing it because we've discovered a positive ROI on it and we'll likely keep doing it.
However, I don't see where the next rocket is coming from that's going to start a new wave of smart people blogging about tech. Web 3.
Filed under: Blogs. But the world is not tech! Web 2. What if the lull is because bloggers are busy working on Web 2. If I may add that as far as the memetrackers are conserned , the decline you show on that alexa chart can be easily explained by this other Alexa chart.
You will notice that adding Megite to the picture makes it more complete. Growth has slowed a bit, but continued. I think Rich from Topix said something similiar somewhere.
Yeah, last weekend was pretty brutal. But I think in general, t. I think last week was just a pretty bad week for pileons. Go figure.
If blogging is to review a review of a review of… then there are possibly more bloggers then things to blog about; speaking of technology and releases of new , that is. But if original i. Good point Phil. Tech rot is definitely evident and some other genres are suffering from the same problems. No idea at the moment. Gist: When I was an editor, two years was always as long as I felt I could give a job.
Plus, much of the early Net Deux blogging boom was due to bloggers getting up to speed on what was already out there. It could be that everything has been invented, but I think you might want to keep the patent office open for another few weeks, just in case.
The difference between bloggers and journalists is that many bloggers are practitioners — programmers, businessfolk, etc who stay in the career for longer than two years. Stories about ajax have peaked, so tech innovation is over. Or, stories about minicomputers have peaked, so tech innovation is over.
Interesting post, although, IMHO, tech related blogs might go down hill for awhile, but they will be back up again — as soon as the latest and greatest technology is realeased. After all, Squash is only months old and yet quite popular to your credit. It does get old. It does get boring. The revolution is yet to begin. Current technology needs to mature before we see any significant usage outside the early adopter crowd.
To be fair, there has traditionally been plenty of baseball online. Blogging about baseball has been very popular now for years! If you consider Slashdot the earliest 2. Heck even in VPs for various teams were going to the fanatical sabermetric blogs asking the community if they thought various players were worth the free agent contracts they were asking the team for. We were doing Campfire-esque chatting long before 37 signals had product over services and it was h3ll on our servers. In fact, if you want to pick up how to create communities albeit in a rather aesthetically unpleasing way look no further than baseball.
The rot you note can be partially explained by the nature of the memetrackers. They push the most linked blogs to the top of the pile. I am waiting for someone to invent a decent anti-Memeorandum that cuts out the A-list bloggers, and gives more weight to new voices. Anyone working on such a service?
Alexa is completely flawed. I just dawned on me. What outside event could be impacting blogs in general in addition to everything you mention in your excellent post? There are also those people using the new tools for making new things or for making the usual things in new ways, and the real innovation has to come there. A point on the celestial sphere directly below the observer, diametrically opposite the zenith. The lowest point: the nadir of their fortunes. You are absolutely right.
My non-tech blogs have been busier then my tech oriented ones of late. Und jetzt komme ich nicht mehr wirklich weg weil mir die Artikel welche du geschrieben hast richtig zu sagen. I just can say this: You are absolutely right. I have to admit that most of what Phil says makes sense to me. I still scour my reading list and […]. You are commenting using your WordPress. You are commenting using your Google account. You are commenting using your Twitter account.
You are commenting using your Facebook account. Notify me of new comments via email. Notify me of new posts via email. Create a free website or blog at WordPress.
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